BETTING MATHEMATICS GUIDE

How to Calculate No-Vig Odds

No-vig odds estimate prices after removing the displayed margin. Proportional normalisation rescales every implied probability so the adjusted market totals 100%.

The central idea

No-vig odds estimate prices after removing the displayed margin. Proportional normalisation rescales every implied probability so the adjusted market totals 100%.

Fair probabilityᵢ = implied probabilityᵢ ÷ total implied probability

Worked example

Two prices of 1.91 imply 52.36% each. Dividing each figure by the 104.71% market total gives 50%. The proportional no-vig price for each side is therefore 2.00.

Limits of the calculation

Proportional normalisation is one removal method. It assumes the displayed margin is distributed proportionally and does not prove that the adjusted probabilities are true.

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