BETTING MATHEMATICS GUIDE

What Is Bookmaker Margin?

Bookmaker margin is the excess above 100% created when the reciprocal probabilities of every outcome are added together. It is commonly called overround.

The central idea

Bookmaker margin is the excess above 100% created when the reciprocal probabilities of every outcome are added together. It is commonly called overround.

Overround = Σ(1 ÷ decimal odds) − 1

Worked example

At odds of 1.91 on both sides, each price implies 52.36%. Together they total 104.71%, so the displayed overround is 4.71%. That percentage is not the bookmaker’s guaranteed realised profit.

Limits of the calculation

Overround describes the prices offered at one moment. It does not reveal liabilities, customer behaviour or the true probability of either outcome.

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